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BACKTESTED STRATEGIES / Copy-trade portfolios

Follow Congress, by the rules.

19 Shameless Cloning strategies in 6 families buy what members disclose on the day the filing becomes public, never earlier, and are measured against the S&P 500.

FLAGSHIP STRATEGY

Capitol Momentum

Our flagship. Follows the stocks where Congress's conviction and the market's momentum line up, sized by how much members commit.

See its chart and holdings ↓
Annual return
+27.1%
S&P 500 +11.8%
Since 2022
+29.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%
Years ahead
9 of 12
Worst drop -36.7%

Stress-tested: 36 of 36 nearby variations of its rules also beat the S&P 500 both before and since 2022 (median +22.3% a year, weakest +17.9%), so its result does not hinge on one lucky setting.

11 of 19 beat the S&P 500 both before and after 2022

  • Capitol Momentum +27.1% a year vs +11.8% · since 2022 +29.7% vs +10.4% · ahead in 9 of 12 years
  • Supermajority +22.2% a year vs +11.8% · since 2022 +24.2% vs +10.4% · ahead in 10 of 12 years
  • Inner Circle +21.8% a year vs +11.8% · since 2022 +24.4% vs +10.4% · ahead in 11 of 12 years
  • Momentum Leaders +21.1% a year vs +11.8% · since 2022 +19.9% vs +10.4% · ahead in 10 of 12 years
  • Heavy Hitters +19.8% a year vs +11.8% · since 2022 +19.6% vs +10.4% · ahead in 9 of 12 years
  • Rising Consensus +18.6% a year vs +11.8% · since 2022 +20.4% vs +10.4% · ahead in 9 of 12 years
  • Quiet Money +17.4% a year vs +11.8% · since 2022 +13.6% vs +10.4% · ahead in 8 of 12 years
  • Profit Lock +16.5% a year vs +11.8% · since 2022 +17.7% vs +10.4% · ahead in 10 of 12 years
  • Crowd Favorites +16.3% a year vs +11.8% · since 2022 +16.1% vs +10.4% · ahead in 10 of 12 years
  • Safety Net +16.1% a year vs +11.8% · since 2022 +14.4% vs +10.4% · ahead in 9 of 12 years
  • Both Chambers +15.6% a year vs +11.8% · since 2022 +17.9% vs +10.4% · ahead in 7 of 12 years

Testing many strategies means some will win by luck. Trust the ones that beat the index by a clear margin in both periods, with many positions and a reason to work; treat a narrow or one-period win as noise.

EVERY STRATEGY

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Sort by any column, filter by family, and click a strategy for its growth chart against the S&P 500, yearly results and current holdings.

Capitol MomentumBeat S&P in both periods

Our flagship. Follows the stocks where Congress's conviction and the market's momentum line up, sized by how much members commit.

$100 → $1,703 since 2015 (S&P 500: $375)
Annual return+27.1%S&P 500 +11.8% a year
Since 2022+29.7%Out-of-sample · S&P +10.4%
Before 2022+25.2%Design period · S&P +12.7%
Worst drop-36.7%Sharpe 1.01
Years ahead9 of 12Calendar years it beat the S&P 500
Win rate67%Avg. position +13.7%
Positions9176 in all · held ~225 days

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Backtested strategies, sorted by Annual return
StrategyFamily
Both ✓Flagship+27.1%+29.7%+15.3%9/12-36.7%1.0167%176
Both ✓Consensus+22.2%+24.2%+10.4%10/12-31.9%0.9966%166
Both ✓Consensus+21.8%+24.4%+10.0%11/12-28.8%1.0166%272
Both ✓Momentum+21.1%+19.9%+9.3%10/12-34.0%0.8059%894
Both ✓Consensus+19.8%+19.6%+8.0%9/12-36.5%0.8263%423
Both ✓Consensus+18.6%+20.4%+6.8%9/12-29.2%0.8964%244
Both ✓Momentum+17.4%+13.6%+5.6%8/12-36.1%0.9061%594
Both ✓Risk-managed+16.5%+17.7%+4.7%10/12-28.3%0.8964%446
Both ✓Consensus+16.3%+16.1%+4.4%10/12-27.5%0.8663%423
Both ✓Risk-managed+16.1%+14.4%+4.2%9/12-29.4%0.8959%457
Both ✓Consensus+15.6%+17.9%+3.8%7/12-30.0%0.8264%682
Popularity+14.3%+17.2%+2.5%7/12-36.6%0.7258%766
Popularity+13.5%+14.7%+1.7%8/12-30.6%0.8159%155
Popularity+12.8%+15.3%+0.9%7/12-37.1%0.7455%4,091
Popularity+12.5%+17.1%+0.7%5/12-35.4%0.6955%975
Popularity+10.6%+2.6%-1.2%7/12-56.3%0.5356%130
Baselines+9.6%+7.8%-2.2%2/12-34.8%0.5956%4,625
Baselines+9.5%+8.3%-2.3%4/12-36.6%0.5956%7,916
Baselines+8.6%+8.6%-3.2%2/12-40.8%0.5556%5,383

How the backtest works: each strategy follows House and Senate periodic transaction reports and acts only on the day a filing became public, the first day anyone could have traded on it, buying at that day's close. Each has its own rules for what it buys, how it sizes positions and when it sells; those rules are Shameless Cloning's own. Every change in a position costs 0.1% of the amount traded. Returns use daily closes without dividends, for the strategies and the S&P 500 alike. Filings for stocks without price history (mostly companies since acquired or delisted) are skipped, which can flatter results slightly. Past results are a backtest, not a promise, and nothing here is investment advice.